Dokar Swanson
 Dokar Swanson | |
|---|---|
rule of thumb (en)  | |
 | |
| Bayanai | |
| Fuskar |
photovoltaics (en) |
| Suna saboda |
Richard Swanson (en) |
| Uses (en) |
learning curve (en) da experience curve effects (en) |
Dokar Swanson ita ce lura cewa farashin kayan aikin hasken rana yana raguwa da kashi 20 cikin dari ga kowane ninki biyu na yawan jigilar kaya. A halin yanzu, farashin yana raguwa 75% game da kowane shekaru 10.[1]
Asalin
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]An sanya masa suna ne bayan Richard Swanson, wanda ya kafa Kamfanin SunPower, mai ƙera bangon hasken rana.[2] Kalmar Dokar Swanson ta bayyana ta samo asali ne daga wata kasida a cikin The Economist da aka buga a ƙarshen 2012. Swanson ya kasance yana gabatar da irin waɗannan hanyoyin a taron fasaha na shekaru da yawa.[3]
An kwatanta dokar Swanson da Dokar Moore, wanda ke hango karuwar ikon lissafi na masu sarrafawa. Dokar Swanson ita ce takamaiman aikace-aikacen masana'antar hasken rana na Dokar Wright ta gaba ɗaya wanda ya bayyana cewa za a sami raguwar farashi don kowane ninki biyu na ƙarar masana'antu.
Tushen fasaha
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]Hanyar da Swanson ya yi amfani da ita galibi ana kiranta da tsarin ilmantarwa ko kuma ingantaccen ƙwarewar ƙwarewa. An fara haɓaka shi kuma an yi amfani da shi ga masana'antar jirgin sama a cikin 1936 ta hanyar Theodore Paul Wright . [4] Akwai rahotanni game da cewa an fara amfani da shi ga masana'antar photovoltaics a 1975, kuma ya ga amfani da shi sosai tun daga farkon shekarun 1990.[5]
Farashin sel na photovoltaic na silicon crystalline ya fadi daga $ 76.67 a kowace watt a 1977 zuwa $ 0.36 a kowace watt. [6] Shirya farashin tsari (a cikin $ / Wp) idan aka kwatanta da lokaci yana nuna raguwa da kashi 10% a kowace shekara.[7]
Dubi kuma
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]- Tattalin arzikin sikelin
- Girman photovoltaics
- Tsarin ilmantarwa
- Shirin Log-log
- Dokar Moore
- Tsarin photovoltaic
- Dokar Wright
- Dokar Engelbart
Manazarta
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]- ↑ "Swanson's Law provides green ray of sunshine for PV". 2016-01-17.
- ↑ "Solar Cell Technology Solutions". SunPower Corporation. 2014-07-24. Note: Read more about current innovations in solar technology.
- ↑ "Swanson's Law provides green ray of sunshine for PV". 2016-01-17.
- ↑ T. P. Wright (1936). "Factors affecting the costs of airplanes". Journal of the Aeronautical Sciences. 3 (4): 122–128. doi:10.2514/8.155.
- ↑ A. de la Tour; M. Glachant; Y. Ménière (2013). "What Cost for Photovoltaic Modules in 2020? Lessons from Experience Curve Models". Interdisciplinary Institute for Innovation. Retrieved 2020-09-08.
- ↑ R. M. Swanson (2006). "A vision for crystalline silicon photovoltaics". Progress in Photovoltaics: Research and Applications. 14 (5): 443–453. doi:10.1002/pip.709.
- ↑ J. Doyne Farmer; François Lafond (2 November 2015). "How predictable is technological progress?". Research Policy. 45 (3): 647–665. arXiv:1502.05274. doi:10.1016/j.respol.2015.11.001. License: cc. Note: Appendix F. A trend extrapolation of solar energy capacity.