Jump to content

Guje wa Canjin Yanayi Mai Hadari (taron 2005)

Daga Wikipedia, Insakulofidiya ta kyauta.
Infotaula d'esdevenimentGuje wa Canjin Yanayi Mai Hadari
Iri international conference (en) Fassara
Muhimmin darasi Canjin yanayi

A shekara ta 2005, wani taron kasa da kasa mai taken Guiding Dangerous Climate Change: A Scientific Symposium on Stabilisation of Greenhouse Gases ya bincika alaƙar da ke tsakanin iskar gas mai ɗorewa da dumama duniya da tasirin sa. Sunan taron ya samo asali ne daga Mataki na 2 na Yarjejeniyar Tsarin Majalisar Dinkin Duniya kan Canjin Yanayi [1] Taron ya bincika yiwuwar tasirin a matakai daban-daban na hayakin gas da kuma yadda za'a iya daidaita yanayin a matakin da ake so. Taron ya faru ne a karkashin shugabancin G8 na Burtaniya, tare da halartar masana kimiyya kusan 200 "mashahuran kasa da kasa" daga kasashe 30. Dennis Tirpak ne ya jagoranci kuma Cibiyar Hadley ta shirya ta Tsinkaya da Bincike a Exeter, daga 1 ga Fabrairu zuwa 3 ga Fabraira.[2]

Taron ya kasance daya daga cikin tarurruka da yawa da suka kai ga Yarjejeniyar Paris ta 2015, inda al'ummomin duniya suka amince da iyakance dumamar yanayi zuwa 2 °C don samun damar 50-50 na kauce wa canjin yanayi mai haɗari.

Kasuwancin carbon dioxide na duniya ta shekara ta 2004
Matsakaicin yanayin zafi na duniya 1880 zuwa 2015, tare da bambancin sifili da aka saita a matsakaicin zafin jiki tsakanin 1961 da 1990

An kira taron ne don tattara sabbin bincike game da abin da zai zama dole don cimma burin Yarjejeniyar Tsarin Majalisar Dinkin Duniya ta 1992 kan Canjin Yanayi:

don cimma, daidai da tanadin da ya dace na Yarjejeniyar, daidaitawar iskar gas a cikin yanayi a matakin da zai hana haɗarin tsangwama na mutum tare da tsarin yanayi.

An kuma yi niyyar karfafa ƙarin bincike a yankin. A cikin Rahoton Bincike na Uku na IPCC na 2001, an haɗa kimantawa na farko game da batun; duk da haka, batun ya sami ɗan tattaunawar ƙasa da ƙasa.[3]

Musamman, taron ya bincika batutuwa uku:

  • Ga matakai daban-daban na canjin yanayi menene mahimman tasirin, ga yankuna da bangarori daban-daban da kuma duniya gaba ɗaya?
  • Mene ne irin waɗannan matakan Canjin yanayi zasu nuna dangane da maida hankali ga iskar gas da hanyoyin fitarwa da ake buƙata don cimma irin waɗannan matakan?
  • Waɗanne zaɓuɓɓuka ne ke akwai don cimma daidaito na iskar gas a wurare daban-daban na daidaito a cikin yanayi, la'akari da farashi da rashin tabbas?

Daga cikin ƙaddamarwar da aka cimma, mafi mahimmanci shine sabon kimantawa game da alaƙar da ke tsakanin yawan iskar gas a cikin yanayi da karuwar matakan zafin jiki na duniya. Wasu masu bincike sun yi jayayya cewa za a iya kauce wa mummunar Sakamakon dumamar yanayi na duniya idan matsakaicin yanayin zafi na duniya ya tashi da 2 ° C (3.6 ° F) sama da matakan masana'antu. Gabaɗaya an ɗauka cewa wannan zai faru idan yawan iskar gas ya tashi sama da 550 ppm carbon dioxide daidai da girma. Wannan mayar da hankali, alal misali, sanar da gwamnati a wasu ƙasashe, gami da Tarayyar Turai.[4]

Taron ya kammala cewa, a matakin 550 ppm, mai yiwuwa ne cewa 2 ° C zai wuce, bisa ga tsinkayen samfuran yanayi na baya-bayan nan. Daidaitawar iskar gas a 450 ppm zai haifar da yiwuwar 50% na iyakancewar dumamar duniya zuwa 2 ° C, kuma zai zama dole don cimma daidaito a ƙasa da 400 ppm don ba da tabbaci mai girma na ba da wucewa 2 ° C ba.[5][6]      

Taron ya kuma yi iƙirarin cewa, idan an jinkirta aikin rage hayaki da shekaru 20, yawan rage hayaki na iya buƙatar zama sau 3 zuwa 7 mafi girma don saduwa da wannan burin zafin jiki.[5]

Halin da ake ciki

[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]

A sakamakon sauya ra'ayi game da 'sauri' yanayin iska na iskar gas, wanda wannan taron ya ba da gudummawa, Gwamnatin Burtaniya ta canza manufa a cikin Dokar Canjin Yanayi daga 60% zuwa 80% nan da shekara ta 2050. [7]

Ƙarin karantawa

[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]
  • Littafin da ya danganta: Gujewa Canjin Yanayi mai haɗari, Editoci: Hans Joachim Schellnhuber, Wolfgang Cramer, Nebojsa Nakicenovic, Tom Wigley, da Gary Yohe, Cambridge University Press, Fabrairu 2006, . PDF version a Wayback Machine (an adana 2007-09-26) ISBN 9780521864718
    • PDF versiona cikinWayback Machine (an adana shi 2007-09-26)

Haɗin waje

[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]
Labarai
  1. "Article 2" (PDF). The United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change. Retrieved 23 May 2016.
  2. "Climate Stabilisation Conference - Exeter 2005". (UK) Government News Network. 4 November 2004. Archived from the original on 30 September 2007. Retrieved 15 March 2007.
  3. "Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change - Background". Met Office. 2005. Archived from the original on 2007-02-02. Retrieved 16 March 2007.
  4. "Community Strategy on Climate Change - Council Conclusions". Council of the European Union. 22 June 1996. Archived from the original on 28 January 2008. Retrieved 15 March 2007.
  5. 1 2 "International Symposium on the Stabilisation of greenhouse gas concentrations - Report of the International Scientific Steering Committee". Met Office. 10 May 2005. Archived from the original on 18 March 2006. Retrieved 15 March 2007. Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; name "Steering" defined multiple times with different content
  6. DEFRA (2006). "Avoiding Dangerous Climate Change" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 30 January 2017. Retrieved 7 August 2018.
  7. "UK leads world with commitment to cut emissions by 80% by 2050". Department of Energy and Climate Change. 16 October 2008. Archived from the original on October 20, 2008. Retrieved 28 October 2008.