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Tsarin Tsarin Duniya na Haɗin Kai

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Tsarin Tsarin Duniya na Haɗin Kai
Integrated Assessment Model (en) Fassara
Bayanai
Source code repository URL (en) Fassara https://github.com/mit-jp/igsm
Shafin yanar gizo globalchange.mit.edu…

Samfurin Tsarin Tsarin Duniya na Haɗaɗɗen ( IGSM ) Haɗin Ƙimar Ƙirar Ƙarfafawa (IAM) ne wanda Cibiyar Fasaha ta Massachusetts (MIT) ta haɓaka Shirin Harkokin Kimiyya da Manufofin Canjin Duniya . IGSM ma'auratan MIT Earth System Model (MESM), [1] tsarin tsarin duniya na tsaka-tsakin tsaka-tsakin tsaka-tsaki, zuwa Tsarin Tattalin Arziki da Nazarin Manufofin (EPPA), [2] samfurin ayyukan ɗan adam wanda ke wakiltar tattalin arzikin duniya. An yi amfani da shi don fahimtar hulɗar tsakanin mutane da tsarin yanayi na duniya. [3] [4]

Tarihi

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An gabatar da IGSM a cikin 1999 a cikin takarda ta Ronald Prinn et al. a cikin takardar a cikin Canjin yanayi [5] An saki Version 2 a cikin 2005. [4]

Karɓar baƙi

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Karɓar ilimi

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Hukumar Kare Muhalli ta Amurka da kuma Kwamitin Gwamnati kan Canjin Yanayi sun yi amfani da IGSM. [6][7]

An kuma ambaci IGSM a cikin wallafe-wallafen ilimi game da tsarin yanayi, ayyukan ɗan adam, da tasirin manufofi. Masu kirkirar samfurin sun yi amfani da sigar 1 don nazarin Yarjejeniyar Kyoto a cikin takarda ta 1999 don Yanayi.[8] Masu kirkirar samfurin sun yi amfani da sigar 2.2 a cikin binciken da aka buga a matsayin takarda mai aiki a cikin 2008. [9] An buga wani gyare-gyare a cikin Climatic Change a cikin 2011. [10] Wani takarda na aiki na 2012 ya yi bincike game da manufofin manufofin yanayi a karkashin rashin tabbas.[11] An tattauna dabarun binciken tasirin Canjin yanayi a kan albarkatun jiki, Halitta da na ɗan adam na Duniya da kuma alaƙa da sakamakon zamantakewar tattalin arziki a cikin MIT IGSM a cikin wata kasida da aka buga a cikin Climatic Change a cikin 2013.[12] An buga nuni na iyawar IGSM don kimantawa na bangarori da yawa game da tasirin yanayi a ƙarƙashin kewayon daidaitattun abubuwan tattalin arziki da yanayi waɗanda ke amsawa ga sabbin manufofi da tsammanin kasuwanci a cikin Nature Communications a cikin 2018. [13]

Marubutan masu zaman kansu sun kuma ambaci IGSM.[14][15]

Manazarta

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  1. ↑ Sokolov, A.; Kicklighter, D.; Schlosser, A.; Wang, C.; Monier, E.; Brown-Steiner, B.; Prinn, R.; Forest, C.; Gao, X.; Libardoni, A.; Eastham, S. (2018). "Description and Evaluation of the MIT Earth System Model (MESM)". Journal of Advances in Modeling Earth Systems. 10 (8): 1759–1789. doi:10.1029/2018MS001277. |hdl-access= requires |hdl= (help)
  2. ↑ Chen, Y.-H.; Paltsev, S.; Reilly, J.M.; Morris, J.F.; Babiker, M.H. (2016). "Long-term economic modeling for climate change assessment". Economic Modelling. 52 (Part B): 867–883. doi:10.1016/j.econmod.2015.10.023.
  3. ↑ "IGSM - Integrated Global System Modeling Framework". Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) Joint Program on the Science and Policy of Global Change. Retrieved June 28, 2014.
  4. 1 2 "The MIT Integrated Global System Model" (PDF). Retrieved June 28, 2014.
  5. ↑ Prinn, Ronald; Jocoby, Henry; Sokolov, Andrei; et al. (1999). "Integrated Global System Model for Climate Policy Assessment: Feedbacks and Sensitivity Studies" (PDF). Climatic Change. 41 (3/4): 469–546. doi:10.1023/A:1005326126726. S2CID 369077. Archived from the original (PDF) on April 2, 2015. Retrieved June 28, 2014.
  6. ↑ "Towards New Scenarios for Analysis of Emissions, Climate Change, Impacts, and Response Strategies (Technical Summary)" (PDF). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. September 19–21, 2007. Archived from the original (PDF) on September 22, 2014. Retrieved June 28, 2014.
  7. ↑ "Climate Models and Their Evaluation (Chapter 8, Working Group 1)" (PDF). Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (Fourth Assessment Report). Archived from the original (PDF) on September 22, 2010. Retrieved June 28, 2014.
  8. ↑ Reilly, John; Prinn, Ronald; et al. (October 7, 1999). "Multi-gas assessment of the Kyoto Protocol". Nature. 401 (6753): 549–555. Bibcode:1999Natur.401..549R. doi:10.1038/44069. S2CID 4403653. |hdl-access= requires |hdl= (help)
  9. ↑ Prinn, Ronald; Paltsev, Sergey; Sokolov, Andrei; Sarofilm, Marcus; Reilly, John; Jacoby, Henry. "The Influence on Climate Change of Differing Scenarios for Future Development Analyzed Using the MIT Integrated Global System Model" (PDF). Retrieved March 28, 2014.
  10. ↑ Prinn, Ronald; Paltsev, Sergey; Sokolov, Andrei; Sarofilm, Marcus; Reilly, John; Jacoby, Henry (February 2011). "Scenarios with MIT integrated global systems model: significant global warming regardless of different approaches" (PDF). Climatic Change. 104 (3–4): 515–537. Bibcode:2011ClCh..104..515P. doi:10.1007/s10584-009-9792-y. S2CID 54791399. Retrieved March 28, 2014.
  11. ↑ Webster, Mort; Sokolov, Andrei P.; Reilly, John M.; Forest, Chris E.; Paltsev, Sergey; Schlosser, Adam; Wang, Chien; Kicklighter, David; Sarofilm, Marcus. "Analysis of Climate Policy Targets under Uncertainty" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2016-03-05. Retrieved 2014-06-29.
  12. ↑ Reilly, J.; Paltsev, S.; Strzepek, K.; Selin, N.E.; Cai, Y.; Nam, K.M.; Monier, E.; Dutkiewicz, S.; Scott, J.; Webster, M.; Sokolov, A. (2013). "Valuing climate impacts in integrated assessment models: the MIT IGSM". Climatic Change. 117 (3): 561–573. Bibcode:2013ClCh..117..561R. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.298.910. doi:10.1007/s10584-012-0635-x. S2CID 10119598.
  13. ↑ Monier, E.; Paltsev, S.; Sokolov, A.; Chen, Y.-H.; Gao, X.; Ejaz, Q.; Couzo, E.; Schlosser, C.A.; Dutkiewicz, S.; Fant, C.; Scott, J.; Kicklighter, D.; Morris, J.; Jacoby, H.; Prinn, R. (2018). "Toward a consistent modeling framework to assess multi-sectoral climate impacts". Nature Communications. 9 (1): 660. Bibcode:2018NatCo...9..660M. doi:10.1038/s41467-018-02984-9. PMC 5811603. PMID 29440736.
  14. ↑ Claussen, M.; Mysak, L. A.; Weaver, A. J.; et al. (2002). "Earth system models of intermediate complexity: closing the gap in the spectrum of climate system models" (PDF). Climate Dynamics. 18 (7): 579–586. Bibcode:2002ClDy...18..579C. CiteSeerX 10.1.1.615.3854. doi:10.1007/s00382-001-0200-1. S2CID 15222336.
  15. ↑ Costanza, Robert; Leemans, Rik; Boumans, Roulef; Gaddis, Erica. "Integrated Global Systems" (PDF). Archived from the original (PDF) on 2017-08-10. Retrieved 2014-06-29.
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