Yanayin canjin yanayi
 Yanayin canjin yanayi | |
|---|---|
 | |
| Bayanai | |
| Ƙaramin ɓangare na |
scenario (en)  |
| Fuskar | Rage canjin yanayi, Daidaituwar canjin yanayi da Canjin yanayi |
| Has cause (en) | canjin yanayi |
Halin canjin yanayi shine makomar da ba a tsammani ba bisa ga "saitin mahimman ƙarfin motsa jiki". ::1812 Scenarios suna bincika tasirin dogon lokaci na ragewa da daidaitawa. Yanayi suna taimakawa wajen fahimtar abin da makomar zata iya riƙewa. Za su iya nuna wane yanke shawara zai sami sakamako mafi mahimmanci akan ragewa da daidaitawa.
Abubuwan da ke da alaƙa da yanayin canjin yanayi sune hanyoyi, waɗanda suka fi dacewa da aiki. Koyaya, a cikin wallafe-wallafen, ana amfani da kalmomin al'amuran da hanyoyi sau da yawa. : 9 :9
Abubuwa da yawa suna tasiri ga yanayin canjin yanayi. Muhimman sigogi guda uku sune yawan mutane (da haɓaka yawan jama'a), ayyukan Tattalin Arziki sabbin fasahohi. Tsarin tattalin arziki da makamashi, kamar su World3 da POLES, suna ƙididdige tasirin waɗannan sigogi.
Yanayin canjin yanayi ya wanzu a matakin kasa, yanki ko na duniya. Kasashe suna amfani da nazarin yanayi don fahimtar yanke shawara. Wannan yana da amfani lokacin da suke haɓaka shirye-shiryen daidaitawa ko Gudummawar Ƙasa. Manufofin kasa da kasa don rage canjin yanayi kamar Yarjejeniyar Paris sun dogara ne akan nazarin waɗannan abubuwan. Misali, Rahoton Musamman na IPCC kan Warming na Duniya na 1.5 °C shine "maɓallin shigarwar kimiyya" a cikin Taron Canjin Yanayi na Majalisar Dinkin Duniya na 2018. Ana la'akari da hanyoyi daban-daban a cikin rahoton, suna kwatanta abubuwan da ke faruwa don rage yanayin zafi na duniya. Hanyoyi sun haɗa da misali fayiloli don samar da makamashi da Cire carbon dioxide.
Kalmomin
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]Rahoton Bincike na shida na IPCC ya bayyana yanayin kamar haka: "Bayani mai kyau game da yadda nan gaba zai iya bunkasa bisa ga [...] saitin zato game da mahimman ƙarfin motsa jiki da dangantaka. " ::1812 saitin abubuwan da suka faru ya nuna kewayon yiwuwar makomar.
Abubuwan da suka faru ba tsinkaya ba ne. ::1812 Scenarios yana taimaka wa masu yanke shawara su fahimci abin da zai zama tasirin yanke shawara.
Ma'anar hanyoyin tana da alaƙa sosai. Ma'anar hanyar da ta dace ita ce kamar haka: "Jin halitta na yanayi da / ko tsarin ɗan adam zuwa ga jihar nan gaba. [...] Hanyar da ke gabatowa [...] ta haɗa da abubuwa daban-daban, manufofi, da 'yan wasan kwaikwayo a fadin ma'auni daban-daban. ":1810
A wasu kalmomi: hanyoyi ne na hanya wanda ke lissafin ayyukan da ake buƙatar ɗauka don yin wani labari ya zama gaskiya. Masu yanke shawara na iya amfani da hanya don yin shiri, misali game da lokacin lokacin da aka fitar da man fetur ko rage tallafin man fetur.
Hanyoyi sun fi dacewa da aiki idan aka kwatanta da abubuwan da suka faru. Suna ba da taswirar hanya don cimma burin yanayi da ake so. Akwai hanyoyi da yawa don cimma wannan yanayin a nan gaba.
A cikin wallafe-wallafen ana amfani da kalmomin yanayi da hanyoyi sau da yawa. : 9 Littattafan IPCC a kan tushen kimiyyar jiki suna amfani da abubuwan da suka fi dacewa, yayin da littattafan da ke kan ragewa suna amfani da hanyoyin fitarwa da hanyoyin ragewa a matsayin kalma.[2] : 9 :9
Nau'o'in
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]Akwai wadannan nau'ikan al'amuran: ::1813
- Abubuwan da suka faru
- abubuwan da suka faru
- Yanayin fitar da hayaki
- Yanayin ragewa
- Bayanan da aka yi amfani da su
- Yanayin zamantakewar al'umma.
Ana amfani da Yanayin asali a matsayin bayani don kwatanta da wani yanayi na daban, misali, yanayin ragewa.[3] An samar da tsinkaye masu yawa na hayaki mai guba.[4] Abubuwan da ke faruwa a "SRES" sune abubuwan da ke faruwa na "baseline" (watau, suna zaton cewa ba a yi ƙoƙari na gaba don iyakance hayaki), kuma an yi amfani da su akai-akai a cikin wallafe-wallafen kimiyya (duba Rahoto na Musamman kan Yanayin Emissions don cikakkun bayanai).[5]
Manufar
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]Za'a iya tunanin yanayin canjin yanayi a matsayin labarun yiwuwar makomar gaba. Suna ba da damar bayanin abubuwan da ke da wuyar tantancewa, kamar shugabanci, tsarin zamantakewa, da cibiyoyi. Akwai bambance-bambance masu yawa tsakanin al'amuran, daga bambance-nambance na ci gaba mai ɗorewa, zuwa rushewar tsarin zamantakewa, tattalin arziki, da muhalli.[6]
Manazarta
[gyara sashe | gyara masomin]- ↑ Fawcett, Allen A.; Iyer, Gokul C.; Clarke, Leon E.; Edmonds, James A.; Hultman, Nathan E.; McJeon, Haewon C.; Rogelj, Joeri; Schuler, Reed; Alsalam, Jameel; Asrar, Ghassem R.; Creason, Jared; Jeong, Minji; McFarland, James; Mundra, Anupriya; Shi, Wenjing (2015-12-04). "Can Paris pledges avert severe climate change?". Science (in Turanci). 350 (6265): 1168–1169. doi:10.1126/science.aad5761. ISSN 0036-8075.
- ↑ Cite error: Invalid
<ref>tag; no text was provided for refs named:22 - ↑ IPCC (2007c). "Annex. In: Climate Change 2007: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Fourth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [B. Metz et al. Eds.]". Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., and New York, N.Y., U.S.A. Archived from the original on 2018-10-05. Retrieved 2009-05-20.
- ↑ Empty citation (help), in IPCC AR4 WG3 (2007)
- ↑ Empty citation (help), in IPCC TAR WG3 (2001).
- ↑ Morita, T.; et al. (2001). "Greenhouse Gas Emission Mitigation Scenarios and Implications. In: Climate Change 2001: Mitigation. Contribution of Working Group III to the Third Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change [B. Metz et al. Eds.]". Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, U.K., and New York, N.Y., U.S.A. Archived from the original on 2018-10-05. Retrieved 2010-01-10.